Resumo
A partir da primeira década dos anos 2000 percebe-se um aumento das discussões a respeito do tema da sustentabilidade, onde se enquadra o tema da Bioenergia, no qual o Brasil tem chamado atenção pelos avanços na indústria do etanol. Avanços na tecnologia de motores refletiram novas oportunidades para essa indústria e, de acordo com o Plano Decenal de Energia Elétrica para 2019 elaborado pelo ministério de Minas e Energia, há uma expectativa de aumento na demanda de etanol em 90% até 2019 (BRASIL, 2010). No entanto, novas tecnologias de conversão e de uso da cana de açúcar e o contexto complexo no qual se insere essa indústria adicionam incertezas nesse setor. Foi com o objetivo de discutir e colocar as incertezas na agenda dessa indústria que nesse trabalho se propôs a elaborar e discutir cenários prospectivos para a demanda por cana de açúcar. Quatro cenários com diferentes perspectivas de avanço tecnológico e de desenvolvimento de mercados foram elaborados e discutidos na conclusão do trabalho.Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
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